Monday, April 04, 2022

The culture war is a sham.

 You can fight for freedom. You can fight for truth, justice, and your way of life. You can fight for your home. But culture in and of itself isn't something you can preserve. A nation's cultures are constantly being shaped by internal and external influences. Every generation tends to enjoy a form of music that past generations find appalling. Millennials like whiney breakup songs, which Gen X likes to mock. Gen X likes grunge and rap which boomers hate. Boomers like rock and roll, which made the Greatest Generation's hair go grey. The Greatest Generation loved jazz, which the Lost Generation loathed. And so on. I imagine the first prehistoric human to grunt with a rhythm probably shocked the elders of his tribe.

Culture is a foolish thing to fight a war over, because culture is impacted by war. Soldiers never come back home to the America that they left. World War I took German language out of everyday American life, and a lot of Americans even changed their last names. World War II made us give equality for women and black people a closer look. Vietnam gave us hippies and Middle-Eastern wars gave us nationalist country music ballads.

Technology impacts culture as well. You are likely reading this on a device that is less than 5 years old. You're already thinking about getting something newer. We communicate with images, videos, and memes. We stay in touch with friends that we haven't seen in years, if we ever met them in the first place.

In light of all that, if your sole goal is to preserve your language and culture, then perhaps you should form a pacifistic, luddite society like the Amish.. But if you prefer to stay connected with a world that continues to evolve and grow, then expect changes that you just aren't going to like.

Friday, March 11, 2022

The liberty movement and Ukraine.

 The liberty movement is like Ukraine. It's a group of feisty people surrounded by Team Red to the right and Team Blue to the left. In an ideal, perfect world, they could go their own way and maintain their own identity. They have a shared past and heritage with Team Red, and many of them self-identify as Team Red. But Team Red's recent hostile actions cannot be ignored. In order to stay alive in the long run, Ukraine and the liberty movement must join Team Blue.

Sunday, September 12, 2021

Biden's new vaccine mandate.

 Not every thing the government does is good, and not everything it does is bad. I see the vaccine mandate as a mixed bag. Biden was reluctant to push for this; even some progressives are concerned about the government's growing footprint now.

Biden wants you to get vaccinated. He wants the pandemic to end during his first term in office. Biden doesn't really want to force you to do it, because he needs to keep his approval ratings up if he wants to get re-elected.

Your boss wants you to get vaccinated. He wants you to not get sick and not make your coworkers sick. Your boss wouldn't mind forcing you to get vaccinated, but he doesn't want to get sued and he doesn't want you to collect unemployment if he has to fire you.

So the Biden Administration and Corporate America came up with a plan. The mandate will "make" companies do what they want to do anyway: fire people for not getting vaccinated. But with the mandate in place, terminated workers will not have any legal recourse. When you try to fight the Man, the Man always wins.

People like to ask "Why does the vaccine have to be political?" Anytime the government is involved, it's political. Many Trump supporters are upset that Trump isn't getting credit for Operation Warp Speed. They want to boycott the vaccine out of sheer spite.

But if you care about politics, you need to realize that COVID-19 has a fatality rate that is greater than 1%. Elections are often decided by less than 1 percentage point. So let's you have a district with 100,000 Democratic voters and 100,000 Republican voters. All the Democrats get vaccinated. Let's say half the Republicans get vaccinated. Let's say 10% of those unvaccinated Republicans get sick. So that 5000 patients. One percent of them die. So now this district has 100,000 Democrats and 99,950 Republicans. Now, that might not sound like much of an advantage, especially since Democrats tend to have a lower turnout rate. But spread that across 435 Congressional Districts, and the GOP is going to struggle to take back the House.

So next year, when Democrats increase their control of Congress and become able to pass any laws they want, are you going to blame Biden for tricking you out of getting vaccinated?

Thursday, July 01, 2021

Why Trump lost in 2020

 I'll try to explain in the simplest terms that I can. Trump might have won if it weren't for the pandemic; voters have been routinely re-electing Presidents since 1996. I can see how his supporters might be frustrated and disappointed by the outcome. Personally, I've been frustrated and disappointed by election outcomes my whole life. But it's important to understand why these things happen.

1. There was a recession economy in 2020. Whether it is right or wrong, voters often place blame for a poor economy on the President. This sort of thing caused Herbert Hoover to lose re-election in 1932 and Bush 41 to lose in 1992. To be sure, the recession was caused by the pandemic.

2. Trump's response to the pandemic was bad. He had federal agents seize medical supplies from hospitals. He visited patients in hospitals without wearing a mask. He kept holding public rallies in spite of the danger, and ended up getting sick himself. That showed poor judgement.

3. There are more liberal and progressive voters in the US than there are conservative voters. While a typical conservative is more reliable and more likely to show up for every election, higher turnout means more liberal voters are at the polls than conservatives. Higher turnout helps Democrats and hurts Republicans. There was record turnout in 2020 due to emotional charged events and state election officials working hard to allow voters to participate safely.


Friday, June 25, 2021

What if Walter White ran against Gus Fring for President?

Walter White would be the idealistic liberal with big, bold ideas.

Gus Fring would be the the pragmatic conservative with a proven track record.

Hector Salamanca would be the dark horse third party candidate, challenging the 2 party system.

Monday, June 21, 2021

What You're Saying Vs What You Really Want To Say

 So far, here is what I've heard Republicans say about the Capitol Riots:
1. "Antifa had committed a false flag attack." A false flag attack is when Group A tries to frame Group B for something Group A did. Most of the mob weren't wearing masks and weren't trying to hide who they were. Quite a few of the people arrested were already famous influencers before the election. Tim Gionet, better known as "Baked Alaska", was one of the alt-right goons who marched at Charlottesville in 2017. He was arrested after livestreaming from within the Capitol. Brandon Straka achieved 15 minutes of notoriety when he refused to wear a mask on an American Airlines flight in 2020 and tweeted about getting kicked off the plane. He said that he had a medical condition known as "sanity" that prohibited him from wearing a mask. Then he went on to film himself at the Capitol riot wearing a powder blue disposable mask. (I guess he got over his self-diagnosed case of sanity).

2. "It was just some tourists." Except tourists don't cause millions in damage, injure over 100 cops, and get five people killed.

3. "The FBI had lured the rioters into storming the Capitol." Recently the FBI had been tricking violent morons into planting fake bombs at buildings. It's debatable if the FBI should continue using this tactic or if such losers are even smart enough to pose a threat. But if you fall for this kind of trick, you have to address the possibility that you are a violent moron too. It's also quite a stretch to claim that Christopher Wray would use Congress as the bait when entrapping Proud Bois.

4. "Ashleigh Babbitt was a victim." This woman was at the front of a mob of people trying to break through a set of locked doors that separated them from a group of members of Congress. If you watch the video of her shooting, you see somebody with a drawn weapon on the other side of the door. Most of the crowd takes the hind and gets down. Babbitt is still attempting to climb through the broken window, presumably to unlock the door from the other side. Stopping an entire mob is a lot to ask from a service pistol, so it was critical that the doors stay closed long enough for Congress to be evacuated. Now I suppose someone who knows more about police work than me could explain a way for that cop to hold back the mob without resorting to lethal force. But that cop also had to make a split second decision. Her death was a foreseeable outcome. Indeed, if the goal was to overturn the results of the 2020 election, and that goal was achieved, then her death might considered "acceptable losses" from a hypothetical military standpoint. But our real non-hypothetical military is backing Joe Biden as President.

What many Republicans really want to say is that they support the January 6th coup attempt. They can't really say that on social media because their accounts will get deleted. They won't say it around anyone who they think is wearing a wire either. 

There are other Republicans who want to say that the coup attempt was Trump's doing, and that it was wrong and foolish. They can't say that out loud at all, because they fear the wrath of Trump supporters. They secretly hope that Trump will go to prison and things will go back to normal. But nobody can say for sure who will be in charge of a post-Trump GOP, or even if such a thing will exist at all.

Saturday, June 19, 2021

I'm a Democrat now.

In a nutshell, ideologically I am a libertarian. Historically I tended to agree with Republicans on economic issues and mostly agreed with Democrats on social issues. But elements within the Republican Party are trying to start a civil war within the US. On January 6th, then-President Donald Trump sent a large number of his supporters into the Capitol in order to hold Congress hostage and force them to allow him to remain in office. This was an act of domestic terrorism.

The Republican Party needs to come to terms with what happened and why. But it doesn't seem like they are ready to admit that Trump lost the election and used violent means in an attempt to remain in power. Folks, another civil war is not something a fiscal conservative should want. The economic damage would reduce tax revenue and there would be a huge increase in military spending which would blow out the deficit even more. If the economy is a high priority for you, then a civil war should be something that you don't really want. Oh yeah, and people will get killed.

So my goal for the next election cycle is to cause the GOP to lose support, funding, and elections. I don't even care about free college or ACA, I just want Republicans to lose. I hope a different opposition party emerges to replace it, but since I won't know what that party will look like, I'm going to be a Democrat just to be on the safe side.